2005 Air Toxics Assessment for New Jersey

Of the 181 air toxics that USEPA included in the 2005 NATA, about one-third do not have toxicity values, or corresponding health benchmarks. For those that do, our analysis of the state and county average air toxics concentrations indicates that 22 of the pollutants are “of concern” because they were predicted to exceed their health benchmarks in one or more counties. 21 of these are cancer-causing (carcinogenic) chemicals, and one (acrolein) is evaluated as a non carcinogen. Predicted concentrations of these pollutants vary around the state, depending on the type of sources that emit them. This is summarized in the table below.

For more information on which areas are impacted by these chemicals of concern, see the chemical-specific maps below.

2005 Chemicals of Concern in New Jersey

PollutantNumber of Counties Above Health BenchmarksPrimary Source Category
Acetaldehyde21Background/Secondary
Acrolein21Background, Nonpoint
Arsenic19Background/Secondary
Benzene21Mobile
1,3-Butadiene21Background, Mobile
Cadmium Compounds1Nonpoint, Background
Carbon Tetrachloride21Background
Chloroform21Nonpoint, Background
Chromium VI20Background, Point
Cobalt7Point
1,4-Dichlorobenzene8Nonpoint, Background
1,3-Dichloropropene1Nonpoint
Diesel Particulate Matter21Mobile
Ethylbenzene6Mobile, Nonpoint
Ethylene Oxide6Background, Nonpoint
Formaldehyde21Background/Secondary
Methyl Chloride21Background
Naphthalene20Nonpoint, Mobile
Nickel Compounds1Nonpoint, Point
PAH18Nonpoint
Perchloroethylene8Nonpoint, Background
1,1,2-Trichloroethane1Nonpoint

* For more information on which areas are impacted by the chemicals of concern, see the risk maps.

To see a state map showing the spatial variation in modeled air concentrations (at the census-tract level) for one of the fourteen chemicals of concern, click on the map:

Acetaldehyde
Acrolein
Arsenic Compounds
Benzene
1,3 Butadiene
Cadmium Compounds
Carbon Tetrachloride
Chloroform
Chromium VI
Cobalt Compounds
1,4-Dichlorobenzene
1,3-Dichloropropene
Diesel PM
Ethylbenzene
Ethylene Oxide
Formaldehyde
Methyl Chloride
Naphthalene
Nickel
PAH/POM
Perchloroethylene
1,1,2-Trichloroethane

COUNTY RISK RATIO TABLES

To see a statewide or county -specific table containing the 2005 NATA-based risk results (including ambient air concentrations, health benchmarks, risk ratios, and source category contributions) for each of the 22 air toxics of concern, click on statewide or the county names below.

Statewide

Atlantic

Bergen

Burlington

Camden

Cape May

Cumberland

Essex

Gloucester

Hudson

Hunterdon

Mercer

Middlesex

Monmouth

Morris

Ocean

Passaic

Salem

Somerset

Sussex

Union

Warren

For Each Table:

  • Chemicals with risk ratios greater than or equal to 1 are in bold.
  • Risk Ratios in italics are based on noncarcinogenic effects.
  • The symbol ug/m3 is micrograms per cubic meter, the amount (in micrograms) of a chemical in a cubic meter of air. This is also known as a concentration.
  • Acetaldehyde and formaldehyde concentration estimates include secondary formation, which is the process by which chemicals in the air are transformed into other chemicals.
  • PAH/POM is “polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons/polycyclic organic matter.” These define a broad class of compounds. The chemicals making up this class were broken up into 8 groups based on toxicity, and each group was assigned a cancer-weighted toxicity estimate. 0.0072 ug/m3 is the health benchmark average across the 8 groups.

Previous NATA Risk Results

USEPA has completed six National-Scale Air Toxics Assessments, every third year beginning with the 1996 NATA. Before that, they conducted a “Cumulative Exposure Project” (CEP) for 1990 which also included an assessment of air toxics. However, they emphasize that the methods used to conduct emissions inventories, modeling, and risk assessment vary somewhat from year to year, so the results are not exactly comparable.

New Jersey’s interpretation of past USEPA data is available below.

2002 NATA Risk Results for NJ

1999 NATA Risk Results for NJ

1996 NATA Risk Results for NJ

1990 CEP Results for NJ

To determine whether the air toxics included in USEPA’s National-Scale Air Toxics Assessment (NATA) could be a potential human health problem in New Jersey, NJDEP compares the estimated NATA air concentrations to their chemical-specific health benchmarks. We divided the modeled air concentration by the health benchmark to get a number we call a risk ratio. If the risk ratio for a specific chemical is greater than one, it may be of concern. The risk ratio also shows just how much higher or lower the estimated air concentration is than the health benchmark. For more information, see How We Estimate Risk from Air Toxics.

New Jersey’s methods for estimating risk using the NATA results are somewhat different from USEPA’s methods, and therefore risk results presented here are different from the risk estimates found on the USEPA’s NATA web site.  New Jersey compares health benchmarks to the modeled ambient concentrations, while USEPA converts the ambient data into “exposure concentrations” using an exposure model that incorporates numerous assumptions about the demographics and activity patterns within a census tract. Resulting exposure concentrations may either be higher or lower than ambient concentrations. Dispersion models have been tested over time by comparisons with ambient monitoring data, and have generally been shown to be comparable within a factor of two. However, for exposure modeling we feel that at this stage of development it adds a level of complexity and uncertainty that confuses rather than clarifies the true levels of exposure.